One more rate rise in 2010

Font size :

Industry commentators believe there will only be one more interest rate rise this year - but do not agree when that might happen.

RP Data's senior research analyst, Cameron Kusher, believes we could see an increase next month.

"The futures markets are pricing in no real change until the end of the year," he said. "However, depending on the inflation data due to be published at the end of the month, it's possible we could see rates go up by another 25 basis points as soon as August."

Richard Robinson, BIS Shrapnel's senior economist, thinks the Reserve Bank will "sit on its hands" until November or December.

"Having raised the cash rate to what it calls a neutral position, the RBA will need a good reason to make it a contractory rate," Robinson commented. "It knows the inflationary figures are going to be high, but it'll be looking for the underlying rate to be drifting down, and we expect it to be there or thereabouts."

Robinson said while the RBA might be concerned about the strong employment figures released this week, that might be tempered by the fact that growth is not yet being reflected in consumer spending."

"It's a wait and see game from here on in," he concluded.

Submit a comment

go back

Can you afford an investment property?

Complete the form below, and let one of our experienced advisors assist you. Our advisors will help you work out whether you can afford an investment property, and assist you in selecting the best loan for your needs.

Investment Property Information
Annual household income
Good credit history?
How soon would you like a mortgage?
First name
Last name
Where do you live?
What number can we reach you on?
E-mail address
We value your privacy and treat all your information seriously - you can check out our privacy policy here
Add your comment