Expert Advice with Michael Yardney.
The results are in and to the surprise of many, Scott Morrison has led the Coalition to win this year's Federal election.
And this means our housing markets are likely to pick up by the end of the year.
Treasurer Josh Frydenberg will now be able to deliver on the budget that he released last month, so I'll summarise the various promises the Coalition made and how these could impact you financially:
But first let's look at...
How the Coalition Government could affect our property markets
The stability of government and the fact that there are no changes to negative gearing or Capital Gains Tax will encourage investors.
The market hates uncertainty, and the Coalition win should return confidence to our property markets which could well turn around by the end of the year.
The timing of the bottom of this downturn will however depend upon the banks loosening lending restrictions and the timing of any interest rate cuts - the first of which seems likely next month and deliver a boost to our languishing markets.
Sure we’re still in the slump phase of the property cycle with prices around Australia falling since late 2017, but there were green shoots appearing before the election campaign stalled things.
Last year property investors stopped buying because they were having difficulty getting finance under the new stricter lending criteria.
Then home buyers got scared as they kept reading headlines of impending property doom.
And things got worse when that 60 Minutes Program came out forecasting property values would fall by 40%. That really sent a fright through the market.
In turn sellers went on strike.
Unless they really needed to sell, they put off the sale of their home as they were worried they would not find a buyer or that they’d be offered a price much lower than they would have received a year or two earlier.
But things are slowly improving
• While property prices are still falling, the rate of decline is easing.
• Auction clearance rates are improving, albeit on much lower volumes than a year ago.
• Buyers are back in the market. Particularly first home buyers encouraged by incentive packages, but also established home buyers and investors.
However, there are still headwinds holding things back including our constrained economy, low inflation, minimal wages growth and rising unemployment.
How your wallet could be impacted by the coalition win
Here's a summary of some of the Coalition promises:
1. First Home Buyers win
First home buyers have been promised some assistance under a Coalition government.
It has indicated it will assist a small group of FHBs and enable them to buy their home with a deposit of only five per cent without having to take out Lenders’ Mortgage Insurance.
But the details of this scheme aren't clear yet and FHB’s will still be required to meet the bank's strict lending criteria and does create potential risks around lending to households with a smaller deposit.
2. How taxpayers benefit:
The Coalition’s election policy will deliver phased in tax cuts providing a tax breaks for more than 10 million Australians and simplify the system by removing the 37% tax bracket entirely.
Liberal’s plan is to cut personal income taxes for all individuals earning up to $126,000 each year would be worth up to $1,080 for individuals or $2,160 per year for dual-income households per year.
The most immediate benefit of the Coalition’s tax policy will come from July 1 this year.
Australians earning less than $37,000 will get a gift of up to $255 with their tax returns.
If you’re earning between $48,000 and $90,000, you will get $1080. The offset then scales down to nothing for anyone earning $126,000 or more.
The Morrison government plans to make additional changes to personal taxes which will only come into effect in 2024-25 which could see all taxpayers on salaries of $45,000-$200,000 pay tax at the lower rate of 30 per cent.
3. If you’re worried about your superannuation:
Australians aged 65 and 66 will be allowed to make voluntary superannuation contributions without meeting the work test.
The Coalition is also going to allow 65 and 66 year olds use the bring-forward rule of making three years’ worth of non-concessional contributions of up to $300,000 in a year.
4. Tax cuts for small business owners:
Morrison promises to cut taxes to 27.5% for small businesses earning less than $50 million, and plans to cut that further to 25% in the future.
The Coalition has also promised to help cash flow by increasing and extending the instant asset write-off.
As part of the 2019 budget, businesses turning more than $50 million (previously $10 million) can write-off assets against their taxable income.
The threshold has also increased from $20,000 to $25,000.
5. If you own shares:
You’ll be able to keep your excess franking credit cash refund, which will be a relief for many self-funded retirees.
6. If you care about climate change:
The Coalition has committed Australia to reduce its emissions by 26 per cent on 2005 levels by 2030, in line with the Paris targets.
The Morrison government is committing $2 billion to a Climate Solutions Fund. It will:
• Build Snowy 2.0;
• A second undersea power interconnector to funnel hydroelectric power generated in Tasmania to the mainland; and
• Allocate $22 million for community-led environmental projects.
7. How about your family:
• The budget pledged $453 million to fund four-year-old kindergarten for another year and ensure children have access to 15 hours a week of preschool in the year before school.
• The Coalition has promised to fund up to 80,000 apprenticeships as part of a $525 million package.
• The budget also contained a $94 million scholarship program to get students to study in regional areas.
• The government has promised a $36 million package to tackle pre- and post-natal depression, and women who have hit pause on their career will get a $75 million ‘Mid-Career Checkpoint’ initiative.
• Another $328 million has been pledged to combat domestic violence.
8. How we’ll treat migrants and refugees:
We’ll welcome 30,000 less migrants a year.
And we won’t be taking any more refugees than we already are.
Michael Yardney is CEO of Metropole Property Strategists, which creates wealth for its clients through independent, unbiased property advice and advocacy. He is a best-selling author, one of Australia’s leading experts in wealth creation through property and writes the Property Update blog.
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Disclaimer: while due care is taken, the viewpoints expressed by contributors do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Your Investment Property.