A major investment bank has joined the discussion about the state of the Australian property market.
In a new report comparing past price rises and corrections to current conditions, investment bank UBS believes it has identified bubble characteristics in Australian markets and what will cause any bubble to burst.
According to the bank, rising interest rates caused price corrections in the Australian market in 2003, 2007 and 2010 and would do so again, however it predicts that won’t occur in the near future.
"Overall, housing is showing some bubble-like features, but it lacks a trigger to pop it near-term," UBS senior economist George Tharenou said.
"Those downturns were only triggered when the RBA hiked, historically the key catalyst for housing approvals to peak is RBA rate hikes; not excess supply or unemployment,” Tharenou said.
The UBS report predicts any correction wouldn’t happen for two to three years, putting their forecast in line with that of BIS Shrapnel who believe property prices will slow over 2016-17
UBS also highlighted that Australia’s house price to income ratio is sitting at 5.5, which is similar to the peaks seen before the corrections in 2003, 2007 and 2010.
UBS’s claims come in the same day CoreLogic RP Data released information revealing Australian homes experienced capital growth of almost 10% over the 2014/15 financial year.
Do you have more than $200k in your super fund? You could use your super to buy property - Find out how
Top Suburbs :
east victoria park
Get help with your investment property
Do you need help finding the right loan for your investment?
When investing in property, it is important to make sure that you not only have the lowest available rate that you can get, but also have the correct loan features for your needs.
Just fill in a few details below and we'll then arrange for a local Aussie Mortgage Broker to contact you and work out what features or types of loans are right for your needs. We'll even help with the paperwork. Plus and appointment is free.
We value your privacy and treat all your information seriously - you can check out