Expert Advice with Kate Forbes 21/04/2017


We all love our own neighbourhoods, right?

We choose to rent or own homes in particular suburbs because it's close to where we work, it may have an exciting entertainment scene, or perhaps it's in the right school zone for our children.

But does that mean that you should invest in your own backyard, too?
The thing is, far too many beginning investors do just that when they start out.
Their thinking is: Well, I love this suburb so everyone else will as well!

But this isn't necessarily true and here are some reasons why...

Choose your sources wisely

You’re likely to invest in your own backyard because you're biased towards it.

Confirmation bias is the natural human tendency to seek or emphasise information that is confirmatory of an existing conclusion or hypothesis.
But in my view, confirmation bias is a major reason for investment mistakes…
In order to minimise the risk of confirmation bias we attempt to challenge the status quo and seek information that causes us to question our investment thesis.
Make sure you check multiple information sources to ensure that the conclusion you’ve reached is truly correct (and is not just the information supporting your personal belief).
Make a distinction between where you live and where you should invest
In many cases, where you want to live geographically and what type of property you want to live in may not be a great choice for a long-term investment property.
That's often because your home suburb has been chosen for emotional reasons and we all know that investing should be about using your head and not your heart.

Strategic investors know to dig deeper than the average investor.

They are always on the lookout for investment grade properties that are going to outperform the averages – and that will probably mean investing in locations other than their home suburb.

In fact, smart investors often look in other states when searching for this next property.


A top-down approach to investing
The property investment system that has helped me build a very substantial property portfolio uses what I call a top down approach.
1. It starts with buying at the right stage of the property cycle. I look at the big picture – how the economy is performing and where we are in the property cycle.


2. Then I look for the right state in which to invest – one that is poised for economic growth because this will lead to jobs growth, which leads to wages growth and population growth which eventually leads to property price growth.


3. Then within that state, I look for the right suburb – one that has a long history of outperforming the averages and one will continue to do so because of its demographics. I look for affluent areas where the locals can afford to and are prepared to pay a premium to live there.
These tend to be the established “money belt” inner and middle ring suburbs of our capital cities or suburbs that are gentrifying.
And, sometimes, sophisticated investors' investigations lead them to sitting on the sidelines and waiting, while other times they uncover signals that say to dive right in (while everyone else is pulling themselves out of the water).


Not in my backyard
Hopefully by now you can see that investing in your own backyard is usually not the best investment strategy.
That's because there are many other locations across Australia that can provide investors with opportunities to buy property with better chances of achieving above average capital growth in the years ahead.


While successful investing is all about strategy, it is also about considering all options and owning a geographically diverse portfolio so you can make the most of market "ups" and protect yourself during any "downs".


That way, market conditions are almost irrelevant because there is always somewhere in a country of our size where opportunities are ripe for investment picking. 



Kate Forbes is a Property Strategist at Metropole Property Strategists in Melbourne. She has 15 years of investment experience in financial markets in two continents, is qualified in multiple disciplines and is also a chartered financial analyst (CFA).

She is a regular commentator for Michael Yardney’s Property Update    


Read more Expert Advice from Kate here!

Disclaimer: while due care is taken, the viewpoints expressed by contributors do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Your Investment Property.